Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 74.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Stenlund
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Stenlund
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
42.4% (675)
+15.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
40.5% (42)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
50.0% (8)
-8.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McTavish
Home
53.6% (261)
41.9% (372)
Away
52.8% (265)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Stenlund
McTavish
P1
55.4%
47.2%
P2
51.5%
36.2%
P3
52.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |