Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 61.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Stenlund
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stenlund
Rantanen
Last 7: Stenlund 2-5 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
5
Stenlund
Rantanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
50.9% (334)
+7.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
43.7% (119)
+3.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rantanen
Home
53.6% (261)
49.4% (241)
Away
52.8% (265)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Stenlund
Rantanen
P1
55.4%
47.1%
P2
51.5%
46.7%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |