Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Rantanen 52.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 86.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 97.3%
97.3%
2.7%
Stenlund
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
55.3% (188)
+3.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
46.3% (67)
+16.2%
On power play, Stenlund has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Rantanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rantanen
Home
58.6% (548)
57.3% (143)
Away
59.7% (506)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Stenlund
Rantanen
P1
60.2%
47.8%
P2
59.1%
56.8%
P3
58.3%
54.5%
OT
58.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |