Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Stenlund
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stenlund
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Stenlund
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
51.7% (346)
+2.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
58.5% (164)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
0.0% (1)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rantanen
Home
50.7% (402)
55.8% (258)
Away
52.0% (433)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Stenlund
Rantanen
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
52.4%
56.6%
P3
45.2%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |