Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Stenlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund
Suzuki
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Stenlund
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
51.3% (1,096)
+3.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
59.9% (157)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
56.9% (58)
-12.8%
On power play, Suzuki has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (402)
54.2% (638)
Away
52.0% (433)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Stenlund
Suzuki
P1
56.5%
51.5%
P2
52.4%
53.3%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |