Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stenlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stenlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Stenlund
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
51.3% (904)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
49.8% (265)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
36.8% (57)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suzuki
Home
57.0% (458)
50.6% (603)
Away
52.6% (511)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Stenlund
Suzuki
P1
55.1%
52.3%
P2
53.3%
47.5%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
OT
42.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |