Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Stenlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Stenlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
8
Stenlund
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
49.4% (6,327)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.7% (1,338)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
43.6% (456)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suzuki
Home
54.3% (1,848)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Stenlund
Suzuki
P1
56.4%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
50.2%
OT
52.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |