Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Cates 40.4% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Stenlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
40.4% (841)
+17.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
42.4% (66)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
32.7% (147)
+9.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Cates
Home
53.6% (261)
38.2% (566)
Away
52.8% (265)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Stenlund
Cates
P1
55.4%
40.5%
P2
51.5%
42.4%
P3
52.9%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |