Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Cates 45.8% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 68.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 66.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Stenlund
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
44.3% (271)
+10.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
77.8% (18)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
31.7% (41)
+12.4%
On power play, Cates has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Cates
Home
50.7% (402)
52.0% (148)
Away
52.0% (433)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Stenlund
Cates
P1
56.5%
42.7%
P2
52.4%
42.9%
P3
45.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%