Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Kelly 49.5% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 53.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stenlund
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
50.0% (6)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
40.0% (5)
+2.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Kelly is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kelly
Home
53.6% (261)
60.0% (5)
Away
52.8% (265)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Stenlund
Kelly
P1
55.4%
33.3%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
52.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%