Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Kelly 41.8% (+27.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 51.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 85.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 70.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Stenlund
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stenlund
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
22.9% (35)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
27.3% (11)
+16.8%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Kelly is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kelly
Home
50.7% (402)
23.8% (21)
Away
52.0% (433)
24.0% (25)
By Period
Stenlund
Kelly
P1
56.5%
22.2%
P2
52.4%
23.5%
P3
45.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |