Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Krebs 49.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 64.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stenlund
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stenlund
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Stenlund
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
49.5% (560)
+9.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
52.6% (38)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
43.3% (67)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Krebs
Home
58.6% (548)
49.4% (314)
Away
59.7% (506)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Stenlund
Krebs
P1
60.2%
47.0%
P2
59.1%
50.5%
P3
58.3%
50.0%
OT
58.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |