Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 59.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Stenlund
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Stenlund
Krebs
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Stenlund
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
7
2
Stenlund
Krebs
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Stenlund
Krebs
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
46.0% (2,159)
+9.3%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
52.5% (99)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
38.6% (171)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Krebs
Home
54.3% (1,848)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Stenlund
Krebs
P1
56.4%
45.9%
P2
53.3%
46.4%
P3
52.8%
44.8%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |