Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Krebs 45.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 66.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 77.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Stenlund
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund
Krebs
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
44.6% (388)
+11.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
25.0% (4)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
45.0% (20)
+7.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Krebs
Home
57.0% (458)
46.8% (188)
Away
52.6% (511)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Stenlund
Krebs
P1
55.1%
47.2%
P2
53.3%
44.9%
P3
56.4%
41.1%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |