Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Faksa 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 68.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 61.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 61.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Stenlund
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stenlund
Faksa
Last 9: Stenlund 6-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
Stenlund
Faksa
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
56.4% (401)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
77.8% (9)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
45.5% (110)
-1.4%
On power play, Faksa has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Faksa is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Faksa
Home
50.7% (402)
49.0% (249)
Away
52.0% (433)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Stenlund
Faksa
P1
56.5%
58.2%
P2
52.4%
53.6%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |