Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Faksa 52.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 56.7%
Neutral zone
Faksa 50.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stenlund
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Stenlund
Faksa
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stenlund
Faksa
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
3
9
Stenlund
Faksa
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Faksa
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
52.8% (6,681)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
57.7% (291)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
49.3% (1,372)
+1.3%
On power play, Faksa has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Faksa
Home
54.3% (1,848)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Stenlund
Faksa
P1
56.4%
53.0%
P2
53.3%
52.5%
P3
52.8%
52.0%
OT
52.9%
45.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |