Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Faksa 56.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Faksa 64.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 69.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 62.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Stenlund
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stenlund
Faksa
Last 8: Stenlund 2-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
3
Stenlund
Faksa
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
4
Stenlund
Faksa
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
Stenlund
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
56.9% (671)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
85.7% (7)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
55.0% (80)
+5.5%
On power play, Faksa has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Faksa
Home
58.6% (548)
59.5% (375)
Away
59.7% (506)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Stenlund
Faksa
P1
60.2%
61.2%
P2
59.1%
54.5%
P3
58.3%
55.5%
OT
58.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |