Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Carrick 53.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 70.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 57.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Stenlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Stenlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
53.8% (654)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
0.0% (2)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
63.9% (36)
-3.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Carrick
Home
58.6% (548)
50.0% (328)
Away
59.7% (506)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Stenlund
Carrick
P1
60.2%
56.7%
P2
59.1%
51.1%
P3
58.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |