Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Couturier 53.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 82.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Stenlund
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Couturier
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Stenlund
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
53.8% (1,003)
+0.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.4% (202)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
42.7% (89)
+1.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Couturier
Home
50.7% (402)
54.4% (680)
Away
52.0% (433)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Stenlund
Couturier
P1
56.5%
56.3%
P2
52.4%
51.8%
P3
45.2%
52.2%
OT
100.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |