Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 59.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 55.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Stenlund
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stenlund
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Stenlund
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
53.4% (758)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.9% (70)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
50.7% (227)
+1.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Couturier
Home
57.0% (458)
50.7% (517)
Away
52.6% (511)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Stenlund
Couturier
P1
55.1%
55.2%
P2
53.3%
53.0%
P3
56.4%
53.3%
OT
42.1%
42.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |