Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Couturier 55.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 75.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Stenlund
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stenlund
Couturier
Last 6: Stenlund 3-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Stenlund
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Stenlund
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
55.1% (1,008)
+3.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
64.1% (142)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
53.3% (45)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Couturier
Home
58.6% (548)
58.1% (609)
Away
59.7% (506)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Stenlund
Couturier
P1
60.2%
55.3%
P2
59.1%
55.8%
P3
58.3%
57.4%
OT
58.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |