Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 48.1% vs Aho 52.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 51.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 52.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stenlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stenlund
Aho
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Stenlund
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stenlund
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (208)
52.4% (622)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stenlund is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Stenlund shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Aho
Home
43.9% (114)
54.9% (359)
Away
51.0% (104)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Stenlund
Aho
P1
47.1%
51.6%
P2
53.2%
53.3%
P3
37.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
47.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |