Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 90.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 57.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Stenlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Stenlund
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
48.5% (778)
+9.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
63.4% (191)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
50.8% (65)
-8.8%
On power play, Aho has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Aho
Home
53.6% (261)
51.3% (530)
Away
52.8% (265)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Stenlund
Aho
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
51.5%
51.3%
P3
52.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |