Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Wright 45.1% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 84.0%
Defensive zone
Wright 61.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 66.8%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Stenlund
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Stenlund
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Stenlund
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
5
Stenlund
Wright
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
43.9% (758)
+14.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.7% (67)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
40.0% (5)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Wright
Home
58.6% (548)
46.3% (406)
Away
59.7% (506)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Stenlund
Wright
P1
60.2%
46.8%
P2
59.1%
42.6%
P3
58.3%
44.4%
OT
58.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |