Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 74.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.7%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stenlund
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Stenlund
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
39.5% (453)
+16.6%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
42.4% (59)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
0.0% (1)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Wright
Home
57.0% (458)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.6% (511)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Stenlund
Wright
P1
55.1%
39.9%
P2
53.3%
37.1%
P3
56.4%
42.9%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Shane Wright |