Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Wright 43.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 88.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 69.9%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Stenlund
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Stenlund
Wright
Last 5: Stenlund 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Stenlund
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
3
5
Stenlund
Wright
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
42.6% (1,318)
+12.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
45.8% (131)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
33.3% (6)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Wright
Home
54.3% (1,848)
44.2% (746)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Stenlund
Wright
P1
56.4%
44.4%
P2
53.3%
40.7%
P3
52.8%
44.0%
OT
52.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |