Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
52.2% (67)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
42.9% (21)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
57.0% (458)
55.4% (65)
Away
52.6% (511)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
55.1%
59.3%
P2
53.3%
47.1%
P3
56.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |