Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+22.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 61.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 58.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Stenlund
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
30.8% (26)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
57.1% (7)
+3.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
58.6% (548)
35.0% (20)
Away
59.7% (506)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
60.2%
38.5%
P2
59.1%
37.5%
P3
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
59.1%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
36.4%