Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 69.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Stenlund
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
48.9% (135)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
50.0% (4)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
50.7% (402)
50.7% (75)
Away
52.0% (433)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
56.5%
60.0%
P2
52.4%
46.3%
P3
45.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.9%