Kevin Stenlund vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 73.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
48.9% (1,118)
+6.4%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.0% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
41.9% (86)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
54.3% (1,848)
50.8% (606)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
56.4%
53.0%
P2
53.3%
46.8%
P3
52.8%
46.1%
OT
52.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |