Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Nosek 58.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 69.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Stenlund
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stenlund
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
59.7% (469)
-1.5%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
100.0% (4)
-52.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
56.5% (124)
-14.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nosek
Home
53.6% (261)
59.0% (295)
Away
52.8% (265)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Stenlund
Nosek
P1
55.4%
56.3%
P2
51.5%
61.9%
P3
52.9%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |