Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+16.8%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 63.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Stenlund
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
36.2% (94)
+18.8%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (243)
41.2% (17)
+9.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
55.5% (346)
38.0% (50)
Away
51.7% (437)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
54.4%
43.2%
P2
51.7%
34.3%
P3
54.8%
32.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%