Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 54.0% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stenlund 51.8%
Defensive zone Stenlund 85.1%
Neutral zone Stenlund 72.3%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Stenlund Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 2 (7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund Girgensons
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund Girgensons
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
45.4% (2,700)
+9.9%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
49.1% (175)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
42.2% (481)
+8.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
54.3% (1,848)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
56.4%
45.7%
P2
53.3%
44.1%
P3
52.8%
45.5%
OT
52.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
54.1%
Girgensons
58.0%
44.0%
45.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 13, 2024 3 01:37 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 11:15 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 06:10 Offensive Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 27, 2024 1 16:38 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 1 02:59 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 15, 2024 1 08:28 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 13, 2020 3 15:34 Neutral Kevin Stenlund