Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Stenlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Girgensons
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
46.3% (147)
+8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
66.7% (3)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
51.1% (47)
-7.0%
On power play, Girgensons has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
50.7% (402)
34.2% (79)
Away
52.0% (433)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
56.5%
56.5%
P2
52.4%
38.1%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |