Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 51.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 55.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Stenlund
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
43.2% (146)
+12.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
44.8% (29)
+7.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
57.0% (458)
40.3% (72)
Away
52.6% (511)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
55.1%
43.8%
P2
53.3%
44.6%
P3
56.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%