Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 53.6% vs Girgensons 45.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stenlund 60.7%
Defensive zone Stenlund 88.2%
Neutral zone Stenlund 78.7%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Stenlund Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 2 (7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund Girgensons
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund Girgensons
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (2,588)
45.2% (2,648)
+9.9%
Power Play
51.4% (109)
48.9% (174)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (855)
42.0% (469)
+8.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,669).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,279).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
53.8% (1,736)
45.3% (1,651)
Away
53.7% (1,816)
44.6% (1,640)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
56.3%
45.7%
P2
53.0%
43.7%
P3
52.3%
45.2%
OT
54.3%
52.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%
53.5%
53.7%
Girgensons
30.0%
43.5%
45.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 13, 2024 3 01:37 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 11:15 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 06:10 Offensive Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 27, 2024 1 16:38 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 1 02:59 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 15, 2024 1 08:28 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 13, 2020 3 15:34 Neutral Kevin Stenlund