Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-11.9%)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 65.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
MacLean
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
53.4% (337)
-11.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
75.0% (8)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
MacLean shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kastelic
Home
41.4% (128)
56.2% (162)
Away
43.7% (119)
52.9% (187)
By Period
MacLean
Kastelic
P1
49.3%
58.2%
P2
41.6%
58.8%
P3
37.6%
45.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%