Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 82.2%
Defensive zone
MacLean 58.2%
Neutral zone
MacLean 63.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
MacLean
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacLean
Kastelic
Last 7: MacLean 2-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
MacLean
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
MacLean
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
55.4% (345)
-7.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.0% (4)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
35.3% (17)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
MacLean shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kastelic
Home
47.6% (273)
50.6% (162)
Away
48.8% (293)
57.4% (204)
By Period
MacLean
Kastelic
P1
45.5%
61.5%
P2
48.8%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |