Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.8% vs 60.0%). MacLean wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 54.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 66.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
MacLean
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacLean
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
0
MacLean
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (71)
61.2% (340)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
83.3% (6)
-83.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
56.0% (141)
+44.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. MacLean is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
MacLean shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kastelic
Home
68.0% (25)
60.9% (233)
Away
57.1% (49)
59.1% (254)
By Period
MacLean
Kastelic
P1
45.5%
58.6%
P2
78.1%
58.7%
P3
50.0%
63.1%
Final 5 min
76.9%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
60.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |