Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
MacLean 69.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
MacLean
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
53.9% (521)
-11.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.1% (35)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.5% (229)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
MacLean shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
MacLean
Carrick
Home
41.4% (128)
52.7% (408)
Away
43.7% (119)
54.1% (377)
By Period
MacLean
Carrick
P1
49.3%
51.4%
P2
41.6%
56.6%
P3
37.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%