Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacLean 71.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.5%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
MacLean
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
MacLean
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
1
MacLean
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
MacLean
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
53.8% (654)
-6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
63.9% (36)
-3.0%
On power play, MacLean has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
MacLean shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
MacLean
Carrick
Home
47.6% (273)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.8% (293)
58.0% (364)
By Period
MacLean
Carrick
P1
45.5%
56.7%
P2
48.8%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |