Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Nosek 51.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.8%
Neutral zone
MacLean 50.3%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
MacLean
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacLean
Nosek
Last 5: MacLean 2-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
MacLean
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
54.4% (215)
-12.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
23.5% (17)
-3.5%
On power play, MacLean has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
MacLean
Nosek
Home
41.4% (128)
50.4% (127)
Away
43.7% (119)
53.8% (106)
By Period
MacLean
Nosek
P1
49.3%
51.4%
P2
41.6%
51.3%
P3
37.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |