Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Nosek 51.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 54.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.3%
Neutral zone
MacLean 57.0%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
MacLean
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacLean
Nosek
Last 6: MacLean 3-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
MacLean
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
1
MacLean
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
53.0% (400)
-5.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
33.3% (12)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
45.5% (44)
+15.4%
On power play, MacLean has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
MacLean
Nosek
Home
47.6% (273)
49.6% (244)
Away
48.8% (293)
54.2% (212)
By Period
MacLean
Nosek
P1
45.5%
53.1%
P2
48.8%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |