Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacLean 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 54.0%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
MacLean
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
MacLean
Nosek
Last 10: MacLean 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
MacLean
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
4
2
MacLean
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
54.9% (2,674)
-7.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
44.7% (47)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
47.4% (424)
+9.3%
On power play, MacLean has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
MacLean
Nosek
Home
46.9% (426)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
48.4% (461)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
MacLean
Nosek
P1
46.6%
52.3%
P2
49.7%
54.0%
P3
46.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |