Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Frederic 46.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 53.5%
Defensive zone
Frederic 56.5%
Neutral zone
Frederic 51.8%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
MacLean
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacLean
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
45.8% (262)
-3.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.1% (7)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
36.4% (22)
-16.4%
On power play, MacLean has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
MacLean
Frederic
Home
41.4% (128)
44.1% (152)
Away
43.7% (119)
46.8% (139)
By Period
MacLean
Frederic
P1
49.3%
41.7%
P2
41.6%
48.9%
P3
37.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |