Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Frederic 45.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 59.8%
Defensive zone
Frederic 55.4%
Neutral zone
Frederic 60.3%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
MacLean
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacLean
Frederic
Last 5: MacLean 1-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
MacLean
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
MacLean
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
42.6% (195)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.3% (14)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
25.0% (4)
+35.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
MacLean
Frederic
Home
47.6% (273)
48.6% (107)
Away
48.8% (293)
38.7% (106)
By Period
MacLean
Frederic
P1
45.5%
37.5%
P2
48.8%
44.8%
P3
50.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |