Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Frederic 46.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 56.1%
Defensive zone
Frederic 52.9%
Neutral zone
Frederic 56.0%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
MacLean
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacLean
Frederic
Last 7: MacLean 2-5 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
MacLean
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
3
MacLean
Frederic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
46.3% (909)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
63.3% (30)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
35.5% (31)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
MacLean
Frederic
Home
46.9% (426)
47.6% (485)
Away
48.4% (461)
45.4% (485)
By Period
MacLean
Frederic
P1
46.6%
41.9%
P2
49.7%
48.0%
P3
46.5%
49.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |