Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Eller 51.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Henrique
Eller
Last 7: Henrique 1-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Henrique
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
52.8% (769)
+0.7%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
54.7% (75)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
46.8% (188)
+4.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
57.4% (467)
51.3% (513)
Away
52.7% (463)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
55.4%
50.3%
P2
56.7%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
22.2%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |