Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.0% vs Eller 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 62.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Barkov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barkov
Eller
Last 7: Barkov 6-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (673)
53.3% (803)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.1% (133)
55.8% (86)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (90)
+3.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Barkov is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Barkov shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Barkov
Eller
Home
50.9% (407)
52.8% (525)
Away
46.8% (412)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Barkov
Eller
P1
49.6%
53.9%
P2
48.4%
54.8%
P3
49.6%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |