Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.3% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 58.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 59.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Barkov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barkov
Eller
Last 5: Barkov 0-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Barkov
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Barkov
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (895)
52.9% (306)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.6% (141)
40.5% (37)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (120)
45.5% (66)
+4.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Barkov is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Barkov shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Barkov
Eller
Home
48.0% (544)
49.7% (181)
Away
50.3% (612)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Barkov
Eller
P1
44.6%
54.2%
P2
51.4%
46.5%
P3
50.9%
49.6%
OT
69.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |