Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Eller 49.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Schenn
Eller
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
49.9% (821)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
52.7% (74)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
43.9% (214)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
45.7% (361)
49.4% (559)
Away
49.5% (319)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
54.6%
50.1%
P2
41.0%
46.7%
P3
46.8%
49.9%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |